Irish General Election 2024: Key Details and Expectations
The Irish general election on Friday will determine the composition of the Dáil, the lower house of Ireland’s parliament. This election marks significant changes in the electoral landscape, with an increased number of constituencies and representatives.
Election Mechanics:
– 43 Dáil constituencies (up from 39 in 2020)
– 174 TDs will be selected (increased from 160 in 2020)
– One seat goes to the Ceann Comhairle (Speaker)
– 88 TDs required for an overall majority
– Over 3.4 million people are registered to vote
Voting System:
The election uses proportional representation through a single transferable vote. Voters can rank candidates by preference, marking their top choice with a number one, subsequent choices with subsequent numbers. Candidates must reach a specific vote threshold to be elected, calculated using a mathematical formula based on available seats and total votes cast.
Political Landscape:
Traditionally dominated by Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael, both center-right parties with roots in a 1921 nationalist split, the current political scene is more complex. In the 2020 election, Fianna Fáil won 38 seats, Fine Gael 35, and they formed a coalition government with the Green Party.
Key Political Figures:
1. Simon Harris (Fine Gael leader):
– Youngest person to lead Ireland at 37
– Entered politics in 2011
– Previously health minister
– Oversaw abortion ban repeal and initial Covid-19 response
2. Micheál Martin (Fianna Fáil leader):
– Tánaiste (deputy prime minister)
– Entered politics in 1985
– First elected as TD in 1989
– Became party leader in 2011
3. Mary Lou McDonald (Sinn Féin leader):
– Irish republican and democratic socialist
– First MEP in 2004
– Became Sinn Féin president in 2018
– Party topped popular vote in 2020 with 37 seats
Campaign Dynamics:
The campaign has been marked by viral moments, particularly involving Simon Harris. Fianna Fáil has maintained a steady campaign, while Sinn Féin has focused on policy positions, particularly housing solutions.
Potential Outcomes:
The latest poll shows a tight race:
– Fianna Fáil: 21%
– Fine Gael: 20%
– Sinn Féin: 20%
Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael have ruled out Sinn Féin as a coalition partner. Independent candidates might play a crucial role in government formation.
Election Timeline:
– Ballot boxes will be sent to count centers after polls close
– Counting begins the following morning
– First Dáil meeting is on 18 December
– New government unlikely before 2025
The election represents a significant moment in Irish political representation and leadership.
